SE calendar, 2190 training rows

match ← All flat growth benchmarks

2190 daily rows starting in 2020 and a 512-row prediction batch. Sweden stresses occurrence counts; China stresses distinct fitted names. Persistence retains the per-country horizon.

Input

benchmark/inputs/v5/country-scaling-2190.json: 2190 history rows and 512 forecast rows.

Output

Largest difference: 5.1e-10 (< 0.0001% of the input's range).

Every forecast row from both libraries.

Date	Effect Prophet	Python Prophet	Difference
2025-12-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2025-12-31	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-01	23.0066	23.0066	3.7e-10
2026-01-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-04	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-01-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-06	19.9937	19.9937	4.8e-10
2026-01-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-11	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-01-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-18	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-01-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-25	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-01-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-01-31	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-01	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-02-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-08	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-02-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-15	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-02-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-22	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-02-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-02-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-01	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-03-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-08	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-03-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-15	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-03-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-22	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-03-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-29	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-03-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-03-31	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-03	19.9654	19.9654	4.8e-10
2026-04-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-05	20.0121	20.0121	5.1e-10
2026-04-06	19.9745	19.9745	4.8e-10
2026-04-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-12	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-04-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-19	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-04-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-26	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-04-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-04-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-01	20.0087	20.0087	4.9e-10
2026-05-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-03	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-05-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-10	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-05-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-14	20.0203	20.0203	4.8e-10
2026-05-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-17	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-05-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-24	19.9795	19.9795	5.1e-10
2026-05-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-05-31	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-06-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-06	19.9939	19.9939	4.9e-10
2026-06-07	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-06-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-14	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-06-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-20	20.0146	20.0146	4.8e-10
2026-06-21	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-06-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-28	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-06-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-06-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-05	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-07-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-12	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-07-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-19	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-07-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-26	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-07-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-07-31	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-02	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-08-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-09	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-08-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-16	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-08-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-23	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-08-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-08-30	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-08-31	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-06	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-09-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-13	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-09-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-20	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-09-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-27	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-09-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-09-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-04	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-10-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-11	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-10-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-18	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-10-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-25	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-10-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-10-31	19.9973	19.9973	4.8e-10
2026-11-01	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-11-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-08	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-11-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-15	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-11-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-22	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-11-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-11-29	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-11-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-06	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-12-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-13	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-12-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-20	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-12-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-25	20.0033	20.0033	4.9e-10
2026-12-26	20.0101	20.0101	4.9e-10
2026-12-27	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2026-12-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2026-12-31	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-01	23.0066	23.0066	3.7e-10
2027-01-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-03	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-01-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-06	19.9937	19.9937	4.8e-10
2027-01-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-10	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-01-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-17	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-01-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-24	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-01-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-01-31	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-02-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-07	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-02-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-14	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-02-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-21	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-02-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-02-28	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-03-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-07	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-03-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-14	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-03-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-21	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-03-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-26	19.9654	19.9654	4.8e-10
2027-03-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-28	20.0121	20.0121	5.1e-10
2027-03-29	19.9745	19.9745	4.8e-10
2027-03-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-03-31	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-01	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-02	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-04	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-04-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-06	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-09	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-11	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-04-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-16	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-18	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-04-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-23	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-25	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-04-26	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-27	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-28	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-29	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-04-30	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-01	20.0087	20.0087	4.9e-10
2027-05-02	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-05-03	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-04	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-05	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-06	20.0203	20.0203	4.8e-10
2027-05-07	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-08	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-09	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-05-10	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-11	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-12	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-13	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-14	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-15	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-16	19.9795	19.9795	5.1e-10
2027-05-17	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-18	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-19	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-20	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-21	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-22	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-23	20.0091	20.0091	7.5e-11
2027-05-24	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11
2027-05-25	20.0033	20.0033	9.6e-11

Timing

Median of all measured repetitions.

Step	Effect Prophet	Python Prophet	Effect Prophet is
Fit	16.3 ms	44.9 ms	2.7× faster
Predict	2.13 ms	9.37 ms	4.4× faster
Save model to JSON	315 µs	2.73 ms	8.7× faster
Load model from JSON	4.29 ms	6.81 ms	1.6× faster
Load and predict in a new process	186 ms	1.71 s	9.2× faster

Settings

The case declaration both libraries ran.

json

{
  "kind": "map",
  "comparison": {
    "kind": "equivalent-objective",
    "evidenceId": "country-calendar-public-v1"
  },
  "configuration": {
    "growth": "flat",
    "countryHolidays": {
      "country": "SE",
      "coverage": "reject-known-gaps",
      "priorScale": 10
    },
    "scaling": "absmax",
    "seasonalityMode": "additive",
    "holidaysMode": "additive",
    "changepoints": {
      "mode": "auto",
      "count": 25,
      "range": 0.8
    },
    "changepointPriorScale": 0.05,
    "seasonalities": [],
    "events": [],
    "regressors": []
  },
  "pythonOptimizer": {
    "algorithm": "Auto",
    "maxIterations": 10000,
    "newtonFallback": true,
    "sigFigs": 12
  }
}

By trend

By feature

SE calendar, 2190 training rows

Input

Output

Timing

Settings

SE calendar, 2190 training rows ​

Input ​

Output ​

Timing ​

Settings ​

SE calendar, 2190 training rows

Input

Output

Timing

Settings