Explicit CN events, 730 training rows / 512 prediction rows

match ← All flat growth benchmarks

The country case's training-year dates and trained names' future dates as ordinary events, separating calendar machinery from the cost of the extra holiday columns.

Input

benchmark/inputs/v5/country-scaling-730.json: 730 history rows and 512 forecast rows.

Output

Largest difference: 4.7e-12 (< 0.0001% of the input's range).

Every forecast row from both libraries.

Date	Effect Prophet	Python Prophet	Difference
2021-12-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-01	22.9782	22.9782	4.7e-12
2022-01-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-01-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-01	19.9872	19.9872	2.3e-12
2022-02-02	19.9872	19.9872	2.3e-12
2022-02-03	19.9872	19.9872	2.3e-12
2022-02-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-02-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-03-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-05	19.9717	19.9717	2.4e-12
2022-04-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-04-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-01	20.0259	20.0259	2.3e-12
2022-05-02	20.0016	20.0016	2.3e-12
2022-05-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-05-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-03	20.0071	20.0071	2.3e-12
2022-06-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-06-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-07-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-08-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-10	20.0648	20.0648	2.4e-12
2022-09-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-12	19.9049	19.9049	2.3e-12
2022-09-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-09-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-01	19.9727	19.9727	2.4e-12
2022-10-02	19.9727	19.9727	2.4e-12
2022-10-03	19.9727	19.9727	2.4e-12
2022-10-04	19.9620	19.9620	2.2e-12
2022-10-05	19.9620	19.9620	2.2e-12
2022-10-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-10-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-11-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2022-12-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-01	22.9782	22.9782	4.7e-12
2023-01-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-22	19.9872	19.9872	2.3e-12
2023-01-23	19.9872	19.9872	2.3e-12
2023-01-24	19.9872	19.9872	2.3e-12
2023-01-25	20.0120	20.0120	2.3e-12
2023-01-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-01-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-02-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-03-31	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-01	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-05	19.9717	19.9717	2.4e-12
2023-04-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-27	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-28	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-29	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-04-30	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-01	20.0259	20.0259	2.3e-12
2023-05-02	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-03	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-04	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-05	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-06	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-07	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-08	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-09	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-10	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-11	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-12	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-13	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-14	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-15	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-16	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-17	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-18	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-19	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-20	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-21	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-22	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-23	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-24	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-25	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12
2023-05-26	20.0048	20.0048	2.3e-12

Timing

Median of all measured repetitions.

Step	Effect Prophet	Python Prophet	Effect Prophet is
Fit	5.94 ms	20.6 ms	3.5× faster
Predict	2.61 ms	6.84 ms	2.6× faster
Save model to JSON	24 µs	1.49 ms	62× faster
Load model from JSON	1.28 ms	5.98 ms	4.7× faster
Load and predict in a new process	170 ms	1.52 s	8.9× faster

Settings

The case declaration both libraries ran.

json

{
  "kind": "map",
  "comparison": {
    "kind": "equivalent-objective",
    "evidenceId": "country-calendar-public-v1"
  },
  "configuration": {
    "growth": "flat",
    "scaling": "absmax",
    "seasonalityMode": "additive",
    "holidaysMode": "additive",
    "changepoints": {
      "mode": "auto",
      "count": 25,
      "range": 0.8
    },
    "changepointPriorScale": 0.05,
    "seasonalities": [],
    "events": [
      {
        "name": "New Year's Day",
        "date": "2020-01-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 01/19/2020)",
        "date": "2020-01-24",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2020-01-25",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2020-01-26",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2020-01-27",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival) (observed)",
        "date": "2020-01-28",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival) (observed)",
        "date": "2020-01-29",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival) (observed)",
        "date": "2020-01-30",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year Extended Holiday",
        "date": "2020-01-31",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year Extended Holiday",
        "date": "2020-02-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year Extended Holiday",
        "date": "2020-02-02",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Tomb-Sweeping Day",
        "date": "2020-04-04",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Tomb-Sweeping Day (observed)",
        "date": "2020-04-06",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Labor Day",
        "date": "2020-05-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 04/26/2020)",
        "date": "2020-05-04",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 05/09/2020)",
        "date": "2020-05-05",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Dragon Boat Festival",
        "date": "2020-06-25",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 06/28/2020)",
        "date": "2020-06-26",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Mid-Autumn Festival",
        "date": "2020-10-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2020-10-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2020-10-02",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2020-10-03",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day (observed)",
        "date": "2020-10-05",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Mid-Autumn Festival (observed)",
        "date": "2020-10-06",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 09/27/2020)",
        "date": "2020-10-07",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 10/10/2020)",
        "date": "2020-10-08",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "New Year's Day",
        "date": "2021-01-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 02/07/2021)",
        "date": "2021-02-11",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2021-02-12",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2021-02-13",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2021-02-14",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival) (observed)",
        "date": "2021-02-15",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival) (observed)",
        "date": "2021-02-16",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 02/20/2021)",
        "date": "2021-02-17",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Tomb-Sweeping Day",
        "date": "2021-04-04",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Tomb-Sweeping Day (observed)",
        "date": "2021-04-05",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Labor Day",
        "date": "2021-05-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Labor Day (observed)",
        "date": "2021-05-03",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 04/25/2021)",
        "date": "2021-05-04",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 05/08/2021)",
        "date": "2021-05-05",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Dragon Boat Festival",
        "date": "2021-06-14",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 09/18/2021)",
        "date": "2021-09-20",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Mid-Autumn Festival",
        "date": "2021-09-21",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2021-10-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2021-10-02",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2021-10-03",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day (observed)",
        "date": "2021-10-04",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day (observed)",
        "date": "2021-10-05",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 09/26/2021)",
        "date": "2021-10-06",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Day off (substituted from 10/09/2021)",
        "date": "2021-10-07",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "New Year's Day",
        "date": "2022-01-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2022-02-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2022-02-02",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2022-02-03",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Tomb-Sweeping Day",
        "date": "2022-04-05",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Labor Day",
        "date": "2022-05-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Labor Day (observed)",
        "date": "2022-05-02",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Dragon Boat Festival",
        "date": "2022-06-03",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Mid-Autumn Festival",
        "date": "2022-09-10",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Mid-Autumn Festival (observed)",
        "date": "2022-09-12",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2022-10-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2022-10-02",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2022-10-03",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day (observed)",
        "date": "2022-10-04",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day (observed)",
        "date": "2022-10-05",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "New Year's Day",
        "date": "2023-01-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2023-01-22",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2023-01-23",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival)",
        "date": "2023-01-24",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Chinese New Year (Spring Festival) (observed)",
        "date": "2023-01-25",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Tomb-Sweeping Day",
        "date": "2023-04-05",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Labor Day",
        "date": "2023-05-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Dragon Boat Festival",
        "date": "2023-06-22",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "Mid-Autumn Festival",
        "date": "2023-09-29",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2023-10-01",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2023-10-02",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day",
        "date": "2023-10-03",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      },
      {
        "name": "National Day (observed)",
        "date": "2023-10-04",
        "lowerWindowDays": 0,
        "upperWindowDays": 0,
        "priorScale": 10
      }
    ],
    "regressors": []
  },
  "pythonOptimizer": {
    "algorithm": "Auto",
    "maxIterations": 10000,
    "newtonFallback": true,
    "sigFigs": 12
  }
}

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Explicit CN events, 730 training rows / 512 prediction rows

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Explicit CN events, 730 training rows / 512 prediction rows ​

Input ​

Output ​

Timing ​

Settings ​

Explicit CN events, 730 training rows / 512 prediction rows

Input

Output

Timing

Settings